Studientyp:
Epidemiologische Studie
(Beobachtungsstudie)
Childhood cancer and magnetic fields from high-voltage power lines in England and Wales: a case-control study
epidem.
[Krebs im Kindesalter und Magnetfelder von Hochspannungsfreileitungen in England und Wales: eine Fall-Kontroll-Studie]
Von:
Kroll ME, Swanson J, Vincent TJ, Draper GJ
Veröffentlicht in: Br J Cancer 2010; 103 (7): 1122-1127
Ziel der Studie (lt. Autor)
Endpunkt/Art der Risikoabschätzung
Art der Abschätzung:
(relatives Risiko (RR))
Exposition
Abschätzung
Expositionsgruppen
Gruppe
|
Charakteristik
|
Referenzgruppe 1
|
geschätzte Magnetfeldstärke an der Wohnadresse bei Geburt: < 0,1 µT
|
Gruppe 2
|
geschätzte Magnetfeldstärke an der Wohnadresse bei Geburt: 0,1 - < 0,2 µT
|
Gruppe 3
|
geschätzte Magnetfeldstärke an der Wohnadresse bei Geburt: 0,2 - < 0,4 µT
|
Gruppe 4
|
geschätzte Magnetfeldstärke an der Wohnadresse bei Geburt: < 0,4 µT
|
Population
-
Gruppe:
-
Alter:
0–14 Jahre
-
Beobachtungszeitraum:
1962-1995
-
Studienort:
Großbritannien (England, Wales)
Fallgruppe
Kontrollgruppe
-
Auswahl:
-
Matching:
- Geschlecht
- Geburtsdatum innerhalb von 6 Monaten, Geburtsregisterbezirk
- Fall:Kontrolle = 1:1
Studiengröße
|
Fälle |
Kontrollen |
Anzahl geeignet |
31.273 |
- |
Anzahl auswertbar |
28.968 |
28.968 |
Statistische Analysemethode:
- konditionale logistische Regression
Ergebnisse (lt. Autor)
Die berechneten Magnetfelder von 57704 der insgesamt 58162 Wohnungen lagen unter 0,1 µT.
Das geschätzte relative Risiko für den Anstieg von jeweils 0,2 µT betrug 1,14 für Leukämie (KI 0,57-2,32; 8 Fälle und 6 Kontrollen), 0,80 für ZNS-/Hirntumore (KI 0,43-1,51; 4 Fälle und 7 Kontrollen) und 1,34 für andere Krebs-Arten (KI 0,84-2,15; 11 Fälle und 9 Kontrollen).
Obwohl statistisch nicht signifikant, unterstützen die Ergebnisse den bestehenden Hinweis auf einen Zusammenhang zwischen der Exposition bei Magnetfeldern von Hochspannungsfreileitungen und Kinder-Leukämie. Jedoch ist es extrem unwahrscheinlich, dass die Exposition bei Magnetfeldern im Geburtsjahr der vollständige Grund für den offensichtlichen Anstieg von Kinder-Leukämie ist, der in der früheren Studie mit der Expositionsabschätzung über den Abstand der Wohnadresse bei Geburt zu den Hochspannungsfreileitungen beobachtet wurde. Die Autoren betonen, dass nur sehr wenige Wohnungen in Großbritannien bei hohen Magnetfeldstärken von Hochspannungsfreileitungen exponiert sind. Wenn Kausilität angenommen wird, liegt das geschätzte, den Magnetfeldern zugeschriebene Risiko (attributables Risiko) unter einem Fall mit Kinder-Leukämie pro Jahr.
Studie gefördert durch
-
Department of Health, UK
-
Scottish Executive/Scottish Ministers, UK
-
United Kingdom Department of Health Radiation Protection Programme
Kommentare zu diesem Artikel
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(2010):
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